The occurrence of chaos in basic Lotka-Volterra models of four
competing species is studied. A brute-force numerical search
conditioned on the largest Lyapunov exponent (LE) indicates that chaos
occurs in a narrow region of parameter space but is robust to
perturbations. The dynamics of the attractor for a maximally chaotic
case are studied using symbolic dynamics, and the question of
self-organized critical behaviour (scale-invariance) of the solution is
considered.
Figure 1. Carrying simplex for equation (1) with parameters in equation
(3).
Figure 2. The dynamics on the boundary of the carrying simplex in
figure 1. The tetrahedron has been unfolded and laid flat for better
viewing.
Figure 3. Attractor projected onto
x1x2x3 space.
Figure 4. Time series for each species (vertical scale is 0 to 1).
Figure 5. Homoclinic connection projected onto the
x1x2 plane.
Figure 6. (
a) Bifurcation
diagram showing successive maxima of
x1
as the coupling variable
s is
increased and (
b) the
corresponding largest LE.
Figure 7. This Monte Carlo scan over the space of initial conditions
attempted to locate coexisting attractors in the range 0.8 <
s < 1.4. The average variance of
each variable was calculated along every orbit and summed. Significant
differences in the variances for a single value of the bifurcation
parameter
s indicated
multiple attractors. The fixed point
Q124
is stable in the window
s =
1.04 to
s = 1.12, while
Q34 becomes stable at
s = 1.08 and is the only attractor
for 1.31 <
s < 1.4.
Hysteresis occurs as the orbit remains at
Q34 even if
s is lowered below 1.31 until
Q34 becomes unstable. At
s = 1.06875 there are
coexisting limit cycles and at
s
= 1.2375 the strange attractor coexists with a limit cycle, indicated
by the single points (*).
Figure 8. Graph of symbolic dynamics of the attractor. The observed
probabilities of the transitions are also indicated.
Figure 9. The plot of Lambda
n
showing convergence to 0.0178, a close approximation to the ASE for the
symbolic dynamics.
Figure 10. Probability distribution function of volatility showing a
power-law scaling (arbitrary scales).
Figure 11. Probability of the largest LE, showing the rarity of chaos.